Skip to main content
European Commission logo
Economy and Finance
  • Forecast

European Economic Forecast Autumn 2025

Details

Identification
Institutional Paper 327
Publication date
17 November 2025
Author
Directorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs

Description

The EU economy outperformed expectations in the first nine months of 2025, as exports were frontloaded in anticipation of tariffs and investment was stronger than anticipated. Modest growth is projected to continue over the forecast horizon despite challenging trade conditions and global uncertainty. Inflation is set to continue declining, hovering around the ECB target of 2% over the next few years.

Information and identifiers

Institutional Paper 327. May 2025. Brussels. PDF, 244pp. Tab. Graph. Bibliogr. Free.

KC-01-25-046-EN-N (online) 
ISBN 978-92-68-27414-9 (online) 
ISSN 2443-8014 (online)
doi:10.2765/2173364 (online)

JEL classification: E6

Disclaimer

European Economy Institutional Papers are important reports analysing the economic situation and economic developments prepared by the European Commission's Directorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs, which serve to underpin economic policy-making by the European Commission, the Council of the European Union and the European Parliament. Views expressed in unofficial documents do not necessarily represent the views of the European Commission.

European Economic Forecast. Autumn 2025

Files

  • 17 NOVEMBER 2025
European Economic Forecast (incl. Statistical Annex). Autumn 2025