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European Economic Forecast. Summer 2023
The EU economy continues to grow, albeit with reduced momentum. The Summer 2023 Interim Economic Forecast revises growth down for the EU and the euro area in both 2023 and 2024. Headline inflation is expected to continue declining, broadly in line with the spring projections.

Global Trade Fragmentation. An EU Perspective
This paper looks at global trade fragmentation from an EU perspective.
Multi-annual work programme 2023, 2024 and 2025
Decision on the financing of the Recovery and Resilience Facility

Common Sovereign Debt instruments: An Analytical Framework
This paper presents an integrated framework for the financial assessment of different types of common sovereign debt instruments.

The ECB Strategy Review - Implications for the Space of Monetary Policy
This paper analyses two central elements of the ECB’s 2021 monetary policy strategy review in an estimated open-economy structural macroeconomic (DSGE) model of the euro area: (1) explicit symmetry of the 2% inflation target, and (2) commitment to persistent monetary accommodation...

Unleashing Potential: Model-Based Reform Benchmarking for EU Member States
The paper quantifies the potential macroeconomic impact of structural reforms in the EU Member States employing a benchmarking approach, closing half the observed gaps in structural indicators.

The COVID-19 Recession on Both Sides of the Atlantic: A Model-Based Comparison
This paper compares post-COVID growth and inflation dynamics in the euro area and the US using an estimated macro model.

Quarterly Report on the Euro Area (QREA), Vol. 22, No. 2 (2023)
This edition analyses the impact of increasing commodity prices, with a particular focus on energy prices, from three different angles. First, it studies inflation divergence in the euro area inflation, driven by the external shocks but also by internal factors.. Second, it discusses the factors dri

European Business Cycle Indicators – A new survey-based labour hoarding indicator. 2nd Quarter 2023
This Special Topic presents a new labour hoarding indicator based on the Commission’s harmonised business surveys.

EU Candidate Countries’ & Potential Candidates’ Economic Quarterly (CCEQ) – Western Balkans and Türkiye. 2nd Quarter 2023
An overview of economic developments in candidate and pre-candidate countries.