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Economy and Finance

European Commission's Forecasts Accuracy Revisited: Statistical Properties and Possible Causes of Forecast Errors

Details

Identification
Discussion Paper 27
Publication date
23 March 2016
Author
Directorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs
Related department
Directorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs

Description

European Commission's Forecasts Accuracy Revisited: Statistical Properties and Possible Causes of Forecast Errors

Description

A statistical analysis of the accuracy of the European Commission’s economic forecasts.

Authors

Marco Fioramanti, ISTAT; Laura González Cabanillas, Bjorn Roelstraete and Salvador Adrian Ferrandis Vallterra, European Commission.

Information and identifiers

Discussion Papers 27. March 2016. Brussels. PDF. 88pp. Tab. Graph. Ann. Bibliogr. Free.
KC-BD-16-027-EN-N (online)
ISBN 978-92-79-54426-2 (online)
ISSN 2443-8022 (online)
doi: 10.2765/283693 (online)
JEL classification: C1, E60, E66

Disclaimer

Discussion Papers are written by the staff of the Directorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs, or by experts working in association with them. The Papers are intended to increase awareness of the technical work being done by staff and to seek comments and suggestions for further analysis. The views expressed are the author’s alone and do not necessarily correspond to those of the European Commission.

Files

European Commission's Forecasts Accuracy Revisited: Statistical Properties and Possible Causes of Forecast Errors
English
(1.3 MB - PDF)
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