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Publications

Publications prepared by the European Commission's Directorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs. See publications before July 2015. See an overview of ECFIN publication series.

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Publications (627)

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  • Forecast
  • Directorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs

European Economic Forecast. Summer 2023

The EU economy continues to grow, albeit with reduced momentum. The Summer 2023 Interim Economic Forecast revises growth down for the EU and the euro area in both 2023 and 2024. Headline inflation is expected to continue declining, broadly in line with the spring projections.

  • Scientific paper
  • Norbert Gaál, Lars Nilsson, Jose Ramon Perea, Alessandra Tucci, Beatriz Velazquez, Directorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs

Global Trade Fragmentation. An EU Perspective

This paper looks at global trade fragmentation from an EU perspective.

  • Scientific paper
  • Lucian Briciu, Lukas Vogel, Stefan Hohberger, Luca Onorante, Beatrice Pataracchia, Marco Ratto, Directorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs

The ECB Strategy Review - Implications for the Space of Monetary Policy

This paper analyses two central elements of the ECB’s 2021 monetary policy strategy review in an estimated open-economy structural macroeconomic (DSGE) model of the euro area: (1) explicit symmetry of the 2% inflation target, and (2) commitment to persistent monetary accommodation...

  • Scientific paper
  • Philipp Pfeiffer, János Varga, Jan in ’t Veld, Directorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs

Unleashing Potential: Model-Based Reform Benchmarking for EU Member States

The paper quantifies the potential macroeconomic impact of structural reforms in the EU Member States employing a benchmarking approach, closing half the observed gaps in structural indicators.

  • Report
  • Directorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs

Quarterly Report on the Euro Area (QREA), Vol. 22, No. 2 (2023)

This edition analyses the impact of increasing commodity prices, with a particular focus on energy prices, from three different angles. First, it studies inflation divergence in the euro area inflation, driven by the external shocks but also by internal factors.. Second, it discusses the factors dri