Publications

The euro area economy is on track to grow at its fastest pace in a decade this year, with real GDP growth forecast at 2.2%. This is substantially higher than expected in spring (1.7%). The EU economy as a whole is also set to beat expectations with robust growth of 2.3% this year.

This paper discusses the accuracy and merits of the EU's common methodology for calculating output gaps.

The European economy has entered its fifth year of recovery, which is reaching all EU Member States.

Having proven resilient to global challenges last year, the European economic recovery is expected to continue this year and next.

This study looks at the uncertainty surrounding revenue predictions in the European Commission’s forecasts over the last 15 years.

Commission forecasts 2017 euro area growth of 1.5% and EU growth of 1.6% hindrances to growth and the weakening of supportive factors.

Ongoing modest growth expected in Europe as key trading partners’ performance has slowed and some of the so far supportive factors start to wane.

A statistical analysis of the accuracy of the European Commission’s economic forecasts.

The European economy is now entering its fourth year of recovery and growth continues at a moderate rate, driven mainly by consumption.