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This paper provides a stylised approach to integrate the macro-fiscal impacts of climate change and climate action in a standard macro-fiscal surveillance framework.
This paper examines the cost-competitiveness of various low-carbon technologies and the role of public support in different market environments.
This paper analyses the effect of Commission announcements (Excessive Deficit Procedure announcements, Post Programme Surveillance Reports and Adjustment Programmes announcements) on Member States' sovereign debt yield.
This paper assesses the macroeconomic consequences of US tariff hikes on the EU and US as well as on global trade flows, based on quantitative simulations by the European Commission's multi-region New Keynesian DSGE model, QUEST.
This paper is a compilation of the economic chapters contained in the European Commission’s 2025 Country Reports on enlargement countries.
This study develops and estimates a large-scale structural macroeconomic model to quantify how energy commodity prices — particularly natural gas and crude oil — affect inflation and output dynamics in the euro area.
This study examines the economic impact of the Recovery and Resilience Facility (RRF) in the Netherlands, leveraging a novel sectoral database and the dynamic general equilibrium FIDELIO model.
The new European Macroeconomic Report (EMR) delves into macroeconomic risks and vulnerabilities, as well as economic challenges and opportunities for the EU and the euro area. It underpins both the Euro Area Recommendation and the Alert Mechanism Report, with the goal of simplifying...
Fiscal communication assessing the medium-term plans
The EU economy outperformed expectations in the first nine months of 2025, as exports were frontloaded in anticipation of tariffs and investment was stronger than anticipated.