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Publications

Publications prepared by the European Commission's Directorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs. See publications before July 2015. See an overview of ECFIN publication series.

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Publications (752)

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Quarterly Report on the Euro Area (QREA), Vol. 24, No. 4 (2025)
  • General publications
  • Directorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs

This Quarterly report analyses the cyclical behaviour of risk-sharing across euro area countries, provides evidence for the usefulness of firms’ selling price expectations in forecasting HICP in the euro area and presents the key economic arguments...

Market Reactions to European Commission Policy Announcements: A Model Intervention Analysis
  • Scientific paper
  • Pierre-Antoine Laprat, Hugo Ségard, Christophe Hurlin, Christelle Sapata, Directorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs

This paper analyses the effect of Commission announcements (Excessive Deficit Procedure announcements, Post Programme Surveillance Reports and Adjustment Programmes announcements) on Member States' sovereign debt yield.

The Macroeconomic Effects of US Tariff Hikes
  • Scientific paper
  • Gergő Motyovszki, Directorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs

This paper assesses the macroeconomic consequences of US tariff hikes on the EU and US as well as on global trade flows, based on quantitative simulations by the European Commission's multi-region New Keynesian DSGE model, QUEST.

Energy Commodity Price Shocks in the Euro Area: Evidence from a Large-Scale Structural Model
  • Scientific paper
  • Philipp Pfeiffer, Beatrice Pataracchia, Marco Ratto, Jan Teresiński, Directorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs

This study develops and estimates a large-scale structural macroeconomic model to quantify how energy commodity prices — particularly natural gas and crude oil — affect inflation and output dynamics in the euro area.